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Dienvidkarol\u012bnas \u0161tat\u0101 (ASV) tikko notika demokr\u0101tu partijas prezidenta priek\u0161v\u0113l\u0113\u0161anas, kur\u0101s ar lielu p\u0101rsvaru (48,4% balsu) uzvar\u0113ja biju\u0161ais ASV viceprezidents D\u017eo Baidens, ieg\u016bstot kop\u0101 ar iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101m priek\u0161v\u0113l\u0113\u0161an\u0101m un kaukusiem 48 p\u0101rst\u0101vjus (33 no Dienvidkarol\u012bnas). B\u0113rnijs Sanders ar 56 p\u0101rst\u0101vjiem aizvien gan ir vad\u012bb\u0101. Un ir liela varb\u016bt\u012bba, ka ar\u012b paliks. Kas noz\u012bm\u0113 – \u013coti iesp\u0113jams – k\u013c\u016bs par demokr\u0101tu izvirz\u012bto prezidenta amata kandid\u0101tu ruden\u012b. \u012asten\u012bb\u0101 pat \u0101tr\u0101k, jau 1. apr\u012bl\u012b. Pras\u012bsiet – k\u0101p\u0113c? Atbilde ir pavisam vienk\u0101r\u0161a (un te es ceru, ka \u0161is bloga ieraksts nenovecos k\u0101 piens). Dienvidkarol\u012bna izce\u013cas ar saviem konservat\u012bvajiem v\u0113l\u0113t\u0101jiem, kuri labpr\u0101t atrastos republik\u0101\u0146u partij\u0101, bet \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101 pa\u0161laik klajo rasismu, kas valda republik\u0101\u0146u partijas vid\u016b, vi\u0146i ir demokr\u0101ti. Tamd\u0113\u013c pa\u0161laik var rasties mald\u012bgs priek\u0161stats par D\u017eo (vai k\u0101da cita) sp\u0113ju uzvar\u0113t B\u0113rniju. <\/p>\n
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T\u0101tad, lai b\u016btu viegl\u0101k saprast. Demokr\u0101tu partijas priek\u0161v\u0113l\u0113\u0161an\u0101s kop\u0113jais deleg\u0101tu skaits ir 3979. Lai ieg\u016btu vair\u0101kumu, ir nepiecie\u0161ams tikt pie 1991 deleg\u0101ta. Un otrdien, tre\u0161aj\u0101 mart\u0101, notiek tas, ko amerik\u0101ni sauc par Super Tuesday, kad \u010detrpadsmit \u0161tatos un vien\u0101 teritorij\u0101 vienlaic\u012bgi notiek balso\u0161ana. Kop\u0101 kandid\u0101tiem \u013caujot tikt pie 1357 deleg\u0101ta. San\u0101k, ka p\u0113c \u0161\u012bs otrdienas, b\u016bs jau zin\u0101mi 38% no deleg\u0101tiem. Papildus \u0101\u0137is sl\u0113pjas taj\u0101, ka Super Tuesday \u0161tatu vid\u016b ir Kalifornija un Teksasa, kas ir liel\u0101kie \u0161tati. Kalifornija dod 415 deleg\u0101tus, bet Teksasa 228. Un abos \u0161tatos B\u0113rnijam ir augsta atzin\u012bba. Kas \u013coti iesp\u0113jams rezult\u0113sies ar\u012b liel\u0101 ieg\u016bto deleg\u0101tu skait\u0101. Vi\u0146a p\u0101rsvars var san\u0101k k\u0101di 400 deleg\u0101ti p\u0101r tuv\u0101ko sekot\u0101ju. Un tas ar\u012b veido probl\u0113mu p\u0101r\u0113jiem. Jo redz, ja p\u0113c otrdienas paliktu tikai divi kandid\u0101ti, tad otrajam kandid\u0101tam n\u0101ktos uzvar\u0113t visas turpm\u0101k\u0101s priek\u0161v\u0113l\u0113\u0161nas atliku\u0161ajos \u0161tatos ar 40% l\u012bdz 60% p\u0101rsvaru. Bet k\u0101 var redz\u0113t B\u0113rnija oponenti negras\u0101s apvienot savus sp\u0113kus, t\u0101 viet\u0101 m\u0113\u0123inot sadal\u012bt atliku\u0161os deleg\u0101tus. Atst\u0101jot B\u0113rniju bez \u012bstas konkurences. Aprakst\u012btais protams nenoz\u012bm\u0113, ka B\u0113rnijs ierad\u012bsies Demokr\u0101tu partijas kongres\u0101 ar nepiecie\u0161amo 1991 deleg\u0101tu, lai vi\u0146am b\u016btu neapstr\u012bdams vair\u0101kums, tom\u0113r neviens cits vi\u0146am neb\u016bs pat tuvu. <\/p>\n
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\u0160is gan ar\u012b ir iemesls kamd\u0113\u013c B\u0113rnijs uztraucas un pieprasa, lai par demokr\u0101tu prezidenta amata kandid\u0101tu tiktu izvirz\u012bts vair\u0101kuma atbalst\u012btais kandid\u0101ts, jo vi\u0146\u0161 apzin\u0101s, ka bez neapstr\u012bdamas uzvaras demokr\u0101tu kongresa balso\u0161anas pirmaj\u0101 k\u0101rt\u0101, vi\u0146am iesp\u0113ju st\u0101ties pret\u012b Trampam var at\u0146emt 500 demokr\u0101tu partijas superdeleg\u0101ti, kuri par partijas prezidenta kandid\u0101tu balsos otraj\u0101 k\u0101rt\u0101.<\/p>\n
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Secin\u0101jumi? B\u0113rnija un leftiju liel\u0101kais s\u0101ncensis var izr\u0101d\u012bties 500 superdeleg\u0101ti un partijas elite, bet moder\u0101tu dzirnakmens ir nesp\u0113ja vienoties par vienu kandid\u0101tu, rezult\u0101t\u0101 nej\u0113dz\u012bgi sadalot sav\u0101 starp\u0101 deleg\u0101tus, pie kuriem cit\u0101d\u0101 gad\u012bjum\u0101 var\u0113tu tikt cilv\u0113ks, kuram ir liel\u0101k\u0101s izredzes uzvar\u0113t B\u0113rniju. <\/p>\n
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P.S. Esmu jau labu br\u012bdi nov\u0113rojis, ka mani kol\u0113\u0123i – d\u012bv\u0101na eksperti – pie katra B\u0113rnija pan\u0101kuma nopukst, ka ka \u0161is jau neuzvar\u0113s Trampu. Rau, \u0161e man gribas zin\u0101t, ja to nesp\u0113j B\u0113rnijs, tad kur\u0161? Kur\u0161 no visas t\u0101 plej\u0101des moder\u0101tu sp\u0113j? Un ziniet atbildes jau nav. Jo t\u0101da ir politika un kampa\u0146as – sam\u0113r\u0101 neprognoz\u0113jamas. Tas ko var apgalvot – mas\u0101m ir apniku\u0161as elites. Un uzvar tie, kuri sp\u0113j vislab\u0101k par\u0101d\u012bt, ka nav \u0161is elites sast\u0101vda\u013ca.<\/p>\n
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Dienvidkarol\u012bnas \u0161tat\u0101 (ASV) tikko notika demokr\u0101tu partijas prezidenta priek\u0161v\u0113l\u0113\u0161anas, kur\u0101s ar lielu p\u0101rsvaru (48,4% balsu) uzvar\u0113ja biju\u0161ais ASV viceprezidents D\u017eo Baidens, ieg\u016bstot kop\u0101 ar iepriek\u0161\u0113j\u0101m priek\u0161v\u0113l\u0113\u0161an\u0101m un kaukusiem 48 p\u0101rst\u0101vjus (33 no Dienvidkarol\u012bnas). B\u0113rnijs Sanders ar 56 p\u0101rst\u0101vjiem aizvien gan ir vad\u012bb\u0101. Un ir liela varb\u016bt\u012bba, ka ar\u012b paliks. Kas noz\u012bm\u0113 – \u013coti iesp\u0113jams – k\u013c\u016bs par demokr\u0101tu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4509,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[39],"tags":[288,1462,1457,1458,1459,1460,1461,248,786],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4506"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4506\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ojars.kapteinis.lv\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}